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Wednesday 23 July 2008

Need to find time to grind 180men! (Warning: explicit gay content not included!)

Hi, due to being busy in the days with golf, tennis and squash, I haven't played much in the evenings because I don't want to play too much when tired! So a short post wooooooohooooooo!



In around the sixth time a few Durham lads played a $4.40 180-man together, I finally managed to cash, and luckily it was a good one for 2nd, scoring a tidy $145. With around 50 left, I made a huge play to near double up, and if my memory serves me correctly should be able to post most of the hands.



I had a stack of around 5.7k ish (won a huge pot with KK vs AJ and something else fairly recently), and had KJ in the big blind. Two limps, the SB completes and I check.



Flop JQ3...SB checks and I put a feeler bet of 400 out here. Fold, call and SB folds.

Turn 7... I fire out 1k, not putting my opponent on a Q and he flats.

River 5...I feel I'm good so check, trying to induce a bluff and also to control the pot if I am beat.



Here, he fires out 3k, surprising me quite a bit. I dwell for around 5 seconds (quite a long dwell for me!) and I call...he has K10 for a missed straight draw and I near double up. This relieved some of the pressure a prominent Mr_Rahl was putting on me, sitting next to me 2nd in chips with a pretty huge stack.



A few hands later I had 77 on the button and raised standard (obv means 599 blinds 100/200)



Flop A97 (weee nice, two spades though) Checked by BB and I raise 999 or something. Flat call.

Turn 10 spade...not too nice...I think about checking to be fruity, but bet 2399 instead. Flat call.

River 9...happy days...I have around 5k, pot around 8-9k...



Here I have 3300 written in the raise column and just about to raise...and I think if he calls that he calls a shove. So I shove. He folds, don't know what he had, probably ace x. Maybe a raise would have been better.



At this point i was in around 4th, Isaac still in 2nd, with 1st place to my left. He was a huge fish and I quite a few pots vs him value betting top pair and calling down with 2nd pair. In no time at all, I was up on 25k, Isaac had chipped up to about the same, and we were in 1st and 2nd I think! :-) I was dreaming of heads up vs him, but as the bubble burst, we went our separate ways, and his luck run out.



He finished in around 12th for a cash but a disappointing end to a superbly played tournament. A bad run of luck and cards at the worst time hurt his chances but he's proving his $515 score was no fluke! (maybe a little bit of a fluke!! :P)



My table had another huge stack and a guy I recognised from a leaderboard somewhere. I sharkscoped xmachine888 and found stats of...



17,962
$1.59
$7
34%
$28,599



Huge 180man grinder with sick results. He doubled up to get a stack near to 20k, but by this time I had worked up to 44k with aggro play and people folding to most of my c-bets.



Here, 6-handed 12 left in the tournie, I took a huge hit from the guy in 2nd. I had k10 on the BB...(blinds 300/600 some ante)



Pre- Limp, Sb folds, I check

Flop...1082 I bet 1.5k...flat call

Turn 5 (2 diamonds now)...I want to control the pot and learn more where I am in the hands so I check. he bets 3k, I'm concerned so I just flat.

River...3rd diamond 7 i think.



I put him on a small pair pre which is why I was cautious because I thought he may have trips...and he bet a large bet of 8k in to the pot. Here I knew he was strong, but couldn't fold, and sure enough he had me beat. He had 910 though, both diamonds, so I was quite badly outdrawn. Still, I should have folded the river and would never have known.



This took me back down to around 30k, and I won a few and lost a few from here, and started getting resistnace from people who were re-popping and I had dwindled down to 20k. I got a double up here from the shark guy who pushed 88 and my AK hit trips. So the final table, and I had 27k. Chip lead had around 50k, and the blinds were still small like 600/1200, crazy for a final table but a testament to the skill-favoured structure of the tournie.



Here, I went on a sick heater. In the space of about 4 knock-outs, I think all by me, I had shoved AA, AK and another couple of hands to knock people out. 5 handed I was tied 2nd place roughly, but the 5th player went and I managed to get all the chips from the guy out in 4th. With an aggro image, I re-shoved AQ to a min raise and was insta-called by K10. I hit trips on the turn leaving him dead and had a huge stack. I looked to dominate from here but faced tough resistance from a player called cellmax. We were passing chips between us as 3rd guy whittled down, but then I lost a huge pot to the guy in 3rd.



I had j7 suited and limped. Bad play #1

Flop, 568...i check called a pot raise. Bad play #2

Turn, j (2 clubs out now)...I led out 2/3 pot, trying to turn a bad play in to a good one and thinking he was weak. He called.

River, 9...(weee straight card...3rd club though...and sure enough he had k4 clubs when it went to showdown. I could have avoided that by simply check-raising or leading the flop...boooo!



So I'm back into 2nd and we are more evens then before...then a stupidly sick hand!!!!!!!!!!



I have AQsuited on the SB, and cellmax on the button raises (as per...up to 6k blinds 1000/2000)

I have 60k behind but still using my aggro image I shove...couldn't flat and didn't want to raise and be 4-bet...he insta-called with AQ clubs. I had spades...little did he know spades are the nuts!!



The flop was a dream, 2 spades and one club...I said to myself, no club on the turn! The turn in fact completed my flush (weeeeee) and gave me a royal flush draw! A little unnecessarily and showing off to the railbirds, I completed the royal flush and re-established my lead at the top!!!

3 handed I had a top pair which I played fairly well against a guy who was chasing a flush in a quite obvious way so I could easily call his river shove with a pair of Aces.

So when it got to heads up, apparently my speciality, I had a 3.5 to 1 chip lead.

Then there was a really annoying hand...

I managed to get him to put it all with A2 on a board of A10K4, only for the river to counterfeit my hand with a 10. Annoying but I maintain my lead.

Then I lost a bit because he was aggro and taking the plays away from me. At a bit less than 3 to 1 lead I gave him the double up I didn't want to give him, with my pushing after a flop raise with 910 on a 89J board 3 hearts and I have the 10 of hearts only to be instacalled by Q7 hearts, leaving me drawing dead to a house.

Sick...then I lost quite a big pot after limping a hand, representing a big hand, I barreled three streets with air and was painfully called (after much dwelling) on the river by his top pair with a decent kicker, showing my play did appear strong. Anyway, I was slightly down here but then managed to check-shove with 2nd pair after quite a bit of action to get it nearly back to evens. Then I tried to be too tricky. he raised button as per, and I flatted AA. The flop was Q72, not too bad for my hand. I checked and he raised his standard half pot. I flatted, knowing the turn bet would appear as well. But the turn was another Q and he bet a bit less than his usual turn bet. I had enough behind to fold but that wasn't really an option, and even though it felt bad I shoved. he flipped his Q5 and the game was over, I was the loser. Thinking back on it, I don;t beat myself up too much if I lose a $36 heads up after having a big lead, and this is pretty similar. The cards didn't come heads up and when I reduced him to 14% to split, he hit!!

All in all I was happy with the game, and if I hadn't have lost with KK vs J9 on the other $4.40 I played and busted in 39th, I felt like it could have been double success. So I definitely like them tournies and recommend them massively.

My stats for them are quite sick, not sustainable because luckily my cashes have been high but still xmachine's stats show massive amounts can be made at them games.

38
$17.26
$4
392%
$656

Anyway, haven't played much heads up, won around $90ish I think since last post playing heads up, with my overall profit now about $4k for pokerstars sng's!

Also, I deposited another $600, to take advantage of the 40% deposit bonus on stars, so in a couple of months time I should get around $240 which will be nice :-)

I'm going to withdraw the $600 when I get a chance and probably $400 more, so will take $1k or which will be nice :-)

My roll (assuming the $600 has been taken off) stands at $3091, so I'm over the $3k mark, yay! :-D

Adding the quick $100 I made on fulltilt and the $150ish playin live, my spoils since my $200 mission at the end of May shows around $3150 profit, or £1580ish, which is a nice feeling. At the minute though, I'm too tired to play too much so looking forward to coming back from holiday August 5th nice and refreshed and ready to make some $$$ and complete my bonus.

So unless anything exciting happens before then I'll post in a few weeks :-)

Gl all

147_574R

Sunday 20 July 2008

I can't wait...for the weekend to begin!!

Hi all, I have played heads up only since Sunday so this will only be a small post littered with a few stats and comparisons! (That's the plan anyway!)

I have been fairly busy but have still managed to squeeze quite a few games in, mostly due to extending the day more than most non-nocturnals. The birds do sound amazing in the morning though, but it's tough to finally get to sleep when it's light!?
Anyway, quick sum up. After the last post, I have played just under 200 games, and for the most part it was immensely frustrating. I started quite well winning a few and by Tuesday(((/Wednesday/days really mean nothing when you're on 4 months holiday!! ))) I was on $2715...
...well this became the figure of doom as at this point I told Nathan and Keys how I was getting on and showed them my sharkscope graph. I didn't mean it in a way to show off or be arrogant, and yet karma still had a shark-size bite out of my ass. The next couple of days, I ran pretty badly again, and more annoyingly I was losing to some stupidly bad fish getting lucky. Again something that aggravated me was whittlig my opponents down to 750, giving me a 3 to 1 chip lead, only for them to win nearly all 40/60s from here and get back to evens. I played a little badly for a while but luckily stayed around break-even, and by this time I was around $2600. I couldn't break the $2700 mark until Saturday, when I won my first game of the day (getting lucky to hit my up and down vs trips!) to get back to the ill-fated amount of $2715!
Luckily for me, it was a Saturday, and I got going around 1am ish to play a few. A note, Saturday's are full of aggro idiots and pure fish. :-) I quickly scooted up a couple of hundred $$$, playing quite well according to the opponent I was faced with but also getting lucky quite a lot. :-)
Unfortunately for me, I was too tired to play by around 3am, but I went to bed with my roll on $2916. A new high and approaching my figure of $3600 to play the $35 heads up. I'm really hoping the standard on Sunday will be just as bad as Saturday and hopefully the weekends will be really lucrative.
A few stats to end...
Overall since $200 deposit.
147_star
Games 2,126
Avg Profit $1.21
Avg Stake $10
ROI 11%
Total Profit $2,565
Heads up since deposit.
1,250
$1.62
$13
13%
$2,027
And the interesting one, $23 heads up
370
$2.21
$22
10%
$818
This I am happy with, as I'm not convinced I've run very nicely, and I think I have been a few games below expectation. Despite this, and despite the buy-in being double the $11 heads up, the standard isn't really any better, and there aren't as many regs as the $11 I don't think!
I wanted a 10% ROI and I have this bang on atm, and I'm hoping to boost it up to closer to 15% if things go well.
A few more stats that may be interesting,
Since $200 deposit Heads up Wins - 739
Losses- 511
This I think means I have won just over 59% of my heads up games. I think this shows 66% to be maybe too ambitious a target but I hope to get it closer to that, and I hope that having a couple of downswings and staying relatively calm will put me in good shape to get closer to 66%.
July stats..
590
$1.69
$18
8%
$998
The ROI has gone down from June, but the average stake has gone up a lot due to the $23 and the average profit has gone up accordingly. The ROI is quite interesting because atm, my total Stars stats are..
147_star
3,887
$0.99
$8
12%
$3,845
Nearly $1 a game now, and the shape of the graph is becoming more like the x squared graph I would hope to see if I'm moving up. The swings look more dramatic, but this means an upswing looks dramatic so it's pretty cool (when I'm winning of course!!)
The final stat I would like to include would be my hourly rate, as this is an option cash game players can work out pretty well.
Based on playing 13 heads up games an hour (4 sets of 3 and a little bit of 3 is around fair I think) and assuming I am averaging $2.21 a game as I have been in the $23s, I am making $28.73 an hour.
I'm not too sure what the cash game equivalent of $23 heads up is, and I'm not sure what hourly rates people at similar cash levels would expect, so any input on this would be great because I really don't have a clue.
Finally, how awesome is golf?! My new favourite sport, and I'm somebody who doesn't like doing this he isn't good at!! I can't wait for my next round and hopefully in Durham or before Keys' success in London this year we can get a round in with the PokerSoc, that would be sick.
I'm not so good at golf, but parts of my game are coming together, and nearly a year on from when I first started, I'm hoping I can break 90 before that year mark, around 30th August. I'll need to get a few rounds in for that to happen, but I hear Gamble and Ptevey are golf sharks so I want to hit form if we do get the PokerSoc game going.
Oooooops, sorry about the lengthy mcpost...
Cliff notes...run/play well,
break even and run/play not so well/lose a bit
Saturday $$$$
blah blah blah
Thanks all, and I'm loving the regularity of blog updates, your work is being appreciated by me!!
147_rats [ star backwards sucks! :-( ]
PS, if u believe me when I say it's going to be a quick post, I'm sorry!!! Have to keep you reading though you see???

Sunday 13 July 2008

You're only swinging when you're winning!

I wrote this all before, a page wasn't working, closed it and it closed these all. Therefore, I'm going to summarise more than before! (Did i hear cheers?!!)

Anyway, for a while the other night I thought I may be posting at 7am saying about my win in the tournie as I hoped. After an uneventful rebuy period where I was in for $35 but ended on 9k after k6 tripled through, I didn't really have many hands but managed to chip up. A couple of draws hit and though I took a couple of knockbacks I was steadily in around 150th place, and made the cash fairly easily.
Then I got put on a nightmare table, with an aggro and solid player to my left. He shoved over so many of my button and cutoff raises and hands like 33 and 77 had to hit the bin. Annoying! Anyway, I exacted my revenge when I hit a straight with my JJ vs his QQ, though I was nice enough not to use his Q! From then I was 50th with around 120 left, but I ran very card dead and other stacks were pushing me around a little bit. I finally made a stand with AJ on around 13BB and was called by AQ. By J on the flop was nothing compared to his Q on the turn, and I busted in 82nd place.
Wooo, beat so many players, must be a nice cash right. Nope, 701st gets $31, 1st gets $11.x k, and 82nd gets $96. Stupid top heavy payout with too many people getting paid!

Still, not a bad return, and OPR indicates that in June I have made a $100 profit at 87% ROI and in July $77 profit for a 73% ROI. Not too bad really and supplements my heads up quite well.

Apart from the tournies, I have exclusively played heads up, and it has been SWINGY!!!! I have been basically running really badly at times, with 6 all in flip losses in a row and at one point in 7 of 9 games I lost when they had roughly 10%.

The first bad spell was the 10% outdraws, and this was just a sick horrible run after I had worked it up to around $2300. I dropped right down to $2050 ish, and was very close to tilting. Fortunately, I managed to bring it around that night and finish up slightly up from what I had started on, and began the next day on around $2300. Some fairly breakeven play from here, winning a little, before a sick spell of losing 8 in a row! :-( I didn't deserve this, though my play was a little worse than it should have been. Won 2, lost 6 would have been fair as twice I flopped sets only to be outdrawn by a runner runner. After being at around $2250 after a few more wins than losses after this sick run, I put on an 11 game winning streak, the last 9 won whilst 3tabling, for a quick rise up to $2480. The next 6 were 3 and 3 and this is where I left it. After donking off a few $$$ playing HORSE and Omaha, my roll is now at $2466. I am possibly on for the $5k by August, as I have moved up and hopefully with average more profit a game.

I have been exploting the advanced search on Sharkscope, and have the following stats.

Heads up $23.

Games 183
Avg Stake $22
Avg Profit $1.76
ROI 8%
Total Profit $323.

Heads up since $200 deposit

Games 1060
Avg Profit $1.47 (SICK SIGN!!)
Avg Stake $11
ROI 14%
Total Profit $1560

Heads up wins and losses since deposit

Wins- 633
Losses- 433

Overall Stars sharkscope

Games 3696
Avg Profit $0.92
Avg Stake $8
ROI 12%
Total Profit $3400

The wins and losses thing is interesting, because I think I should be able to get 2 wins out of 3, but that seems a very high estimate. I will see in the next few days if I can run better and will see how it changes. The average profit has increased at $22, despite the lower ROI, and I do think over 10% is achievable given the standard of play. I have been talking to a few players in the higher games today who say that every level plays basically the same, so that's something to look forward to! :-)

Anyway, I'm off for a round of golf.

Gl all!

The $5k by Sep 1st bet at 1/1 is still on if people fancy it, I'm hoping it will be close.

Paul :-)

Wednesday 9 July 2008

Moooooving On Up!

Hello, an amazing thing happened today. My balls grew and I took the plunge and played a $22 heads up game. I played a guy with around -25% ROI, and thought hello this level isn't so bad!

Since then I have played 32 games for exactly $100 profit at an ROI of 14%. Early days, but something over 10% ROI will guarantee at least $2 profit a game which should hopefully see my account soar (TOUCH WOOD!!). Using sharkscope, I didn't play against one player I would class as a solid reg. There was a mix of average stakes $40 and around -5% ROI who knew how to play but had flaws and just a few who had a decent ROI. I will play a lot more this evening and see if it toughens up then. I imagine it will be more polarised, with more strong players but hopefully more super-fish!

To get me the balls to play, I worked my roll up to around $2100. Since my last post, I have only had one session of 9man turbos I think and lost around $40 from 15 games running pretty badly and not playing great. Apart from that it's been exclusively heads up, which seems to be my new direction atm.

Sharkscope shows that since I started with my $200 deposit heads up I have the following stats.

Games 904
Avg Profit $1.45
Avg Stake $9
ROI 15%
Total Profit $1,310

The 9 men are pretty much the same as before so I won't bother re-posting them.

So yeah, I'm not on a super-hot sicko luckster run atm but the heads up is staying OK and seems to be the most profitable way to play at the minute.

Also, I can play heads up whilst I'm playing in tournies, which I did last night. Spurred on by the 2X prize pools on Stars, I played the 5rebuy, the $11 and the 3rebuy.

I managed to cash in the 5 rebuy and 3 rebuy for $31 and $52 respectively after being in for $15 and $12. Not bad but I made a few errors which Nathan (who railed all night!) was witness to but generally played OK. I busted out of both from a reasonable-to-weak position running in to hands when making a stand but it's good to learn lessons and i can't expect a big score yet. I will play the same set of tournies tonight I think and hopefully can run deep. Though unless I hit the final table the prize money won't really be lucrative which is an annoying feature of these huge field games.

My roll at present is $2186 and my next mini target is $3200 or so before I might move up to $33 heads up. I was also sent $39 from Isaac on FullTilt that I earnt playing 1p/2p at the mighty Aidans cash game at Uni. I decided to play a $34.50 heads up game to try to spin it up and won 2 in a row. I withdrew the $100 or whatever because without a job I need the money and I was going to lose it all playing that high! Having a bit more money in the bank takes away the urge to withdraw from Stars so that's a good thing.

Again, another stupidly long post but it has been over a week. I haven't really played much due to seeing the girlfriend but I have taken the step to move up so it's been a productive few days that I have played. I had an amazing hand the other day where I had 66 vs 52dd on a board of Kx6d4x4d3d which made me laugh and a few hands from the tournie I wish I had saved because they were dubious so I will make sure I save these in future.

Hopefully, I'll be posting at 7 this morning having taking down one of the big tournies2nite :-)

Gl all. 13:47_star